Sunday, November 20, 2011

InReeseWeTrust: New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 11 Game Preview


Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) at New York Giants (6-3) at the Meadowlands, 8:20 p.m. on Sunday night
NBC Images
By Ben Kelly - InReeseWeTrust.com 11/20/11

What happened last week?
Philadelphia stumbled to another fourth-quarter defeat at home against Arizona. Second-year Cardinals quarterback John Skelton marched down the field in the fourth quarter, drawing up 87 and 89 yard drives sandwiched around an interception. The loss was Philadelphia’s fifth blown fourth quarter lead this season. The Cardinals also managed to knock out two of the Eagles’ top playmakers; Michael Vick and Jeremy Maclin are both officially ruled out for this Sunday’s game. Vick broke two ribs on the second play against Arizona, and Maclin is hampered by hamstring and shoulder injuries.

Vince Young at quarterback
Vince Young gets the nod over third-stringer Mike Kafka. Young himself has been banged up this season, and has thrown only one pass to Kafka’s sixteen, a very underthrown interception against Washington. But Young’s career hasn’t been about big numbers. His career starting record of 30-17 isn’t reflected in his modest 75.3 passer rating through five seasons in Tennessee, and his 2006 rookie campaign earned him Rookie of the Year for numerous late game heroics. Five of his twelve career comeback victories came in his rookie season. He led the Titans to seven fourth quarter comebacks and twelve game-winning drives in forty-seven starts. Young just may find himself in another fourth-quarter game-saving situation this Sunday in the 160th matchup between New York and Philly.

How about that Eagle defense?
The Juan Castillo experiment has proven to be a flop in Philadelphia. In an offseason full of lockout turmoil and shortened preseason programs, the Eagles loaded up on free agents and handed them to a newly promoted defensive coordinator… who’s last defensive coaching gig was at a high school in 1989! The heavy burden of coaching Philadelphia’s defense- held to such high standards throughout the late Jim Johnson’s tenure- was only expounded upon by the addition of mega free agents Nnamdi Asomugha, Jason Babin, Cullen Jenkins and others, and forcing them to mesh in a shortened offseason under an inexperienced coordinator. Castillo’s defense has played well at times this season but the inexperience of the current crop of players and coaches with each other has proven costly in fourth quarters this season. Philadelphia has been outscored 24-7 in their last two fourth quarters, home losses to Chicago and Arizona. Both Chicago and Arizona outgained the Philadelphia offense with much of the dirty work coming through the air in the fourth quarter. Philadelphia minus Vick means less offense, placing the pressure squarely on Castillo’s defense to play big.

Predictions
If there ever were a must-win game in the season’s eleventh week, this would be it for the Giants. With looming matchups against the past two Super Bowl champions New Orleans and Green Bay, a loss to a 3-6 team would be a disaster. The Eagles aren’t your average 3-6 team. They are, after all, New York’s biggest rival and have had the Giants number as of late. The G-Men snapped a six game losing streak to Philly in week three this season, but the Eagles would love nothing more than to embarrass the Giants in front of a national audience on Sunday night. New York really must keep pace with the Cowboys, who stand in second place at 5-4 and ought to be 8-4 by the time they face the Giants in week fourteen. New York needs to win at least two out of the next three to keep pace. Beating Philadelphia and stealing a win from either the Packers or Saints will set the stage for an epic showdown in Dallas in three weeks. But first, the Giants need to bury the Eagles from playoff contention and hand them their seventh loss. With Vince Young in the lineup, New York should capitalize on the inconsistencies of a backup quarterback and a defense that is struggling with its identity. Giants will win, 21-17. 

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